Michalis Hadjikakou Presentation
A meta-model for comprehensive environmental risk assessment of global food system futures
Researchers
Michalis Hadjikakou Nicholas Bowles Ozge Geyik Mohammad Abdullah Shaikh Brett Bryan
Short abstract:
The global food system is a key driver of global environmental impact, and has been directly linked to the transgression of specific ecological thresholds or planetary boundaries, especially those of land-system change, climate change, biosphere integrity, biogeochemical flows and freshwater use. A growing number of modelling studies employing a diverse array of forecasting methods and scenario specifications have estimated environmental implications of alternative food futures for a range of business-as-usual (BAU) and alternative intervention scenarios. Our risk assessment meta-model and the accompanying scenario projection database provide a comprehensive resource for considering the relative effectiveness of available interventions across different control variable and planetary boundaries.